A.N.C. Suffers Major Election Setback in South Africa.
The African National Congress had its worst election
since apartheid, losing major black-majority cities like Nelson Mandela
Bay to the Democratic Alliance.
By REUTERS on Publish Date August 5, 2016.
Photo by Schalk Van Zuydam/Associated Press.
JOHANNESBURG — The African National Congress,
the party that helped liberate black South Africans from white-minority
rule but has become mired in corruption, endured its worst election
since taking power after the end of apartheid, according to results
released on Friday.
The A.N.C., the party of the nation’s liberation hero and first black president, Nelson Mandela, could once count on the unyielding loyalty of tens of millions of black South Africans who lived under apartheid.
But widespread anger over the stagnant economy and the brazen self-enrichment of the A.N.C.’s members have badly eroded the party’s standing, gradually chipping away at its ability to rack up big electoral victories on the basis of its history alone.
In
the biggest shake-up of the nation’s post-apartheid political order,
the A.N.C. lost power in at least one big black-majority city, Nelson
Mandela Bay, for the first time.
The
main beneficiary of widespread dissatisfaction in the country was the
Democratic Alliance, a political party that was traditionally led by
white South Africans who opposed apartheid but now has many young black
leaders. During the campaign, the A.N.C. attacked the Democratic
Alliance as a Trojan horse for white interests.
By
late Friday evening, it was locked in extremely tight races over
Johannesburg, the commercial capital, and Pretoria, the seat of
government — an unthinkable predicament for a party whose leader,
President Jacob Zuma, was so confident of endless victories that he has
said that his party would rule “until Jesus comes.”
Nationwide,
with 98 percent of ballots counted in this week’s municipal elections,
the A.N.C. garnered 54 percent of the vote — its lowest level in an
election since 1994, when Mr. Mandela became president and the party
became South Africa’s dominant political force.
The
decline in support for the A.N.C. was especially sharp in the nation’s
eight major cities, where a growing number of black, middle-class voters
turned against the politics of patronage personified by Mr. Zuma and
increasingly resisted the A.N.C.’s emotive appeals to its heroic past.
“We’re
waking up to a new political scene in South Africa,” said William
Gumede, a political scientist at the University of the Witwatersrand in
Johannesburg. “People are clearly not voting anymore based on the past.
They’re now voting on the current reality of poor service delivery and
the Zuma presidency.”
The
party’s showing in this week’s municipal elections fell well below the
60 percent threshold that the party’s secretary general, Gwede Mantashe,
identified in a report
in October as “a psychological and political turning point that would
be interpreted as an indication of the demise of the movement.”
Cyril
Ramaphosa, the deputy president of the A.N.C. and of the nation, said
at a news conference on Friday afternoon that the organization would “do
an introspective look at ourselves.”
“We
are a party that’s not going away from the body politic of this
country,” he said. “Where we have shown areas of weakness, we are going
to get better and improve. That’s who we are. We learn from our
mistakes.”
Mr.
Ramaphosa, who is considered a leading contender to succeed Mr. Zuma as
the A.N.C.’s presidential candidate in 2019, sounded contrite, in a
possible sign of how the party might try to regroup.
“They
think that we are arrogant,” he said of voters, “they think that we are
self-centered, they think that we are self-serving, and I’d like to
dispute all of that and say we are a listening organization.”
Mr.
Zuma’s seven years in office have been marked by a series of scandals,
including the use of millions of dollars in government funds to renovate
his private home; accusations that Indian businessmen close to him
offered to dole out powerful government posts in exchange for favorable
treatment; and Mr. Zuma’s appointment of allies with little experience
to important positions in government and state-owned companies.
The
party’s poor showing this week also showed the extent of frustration
over the economy, which has been made worse by Mr. Zuma’s erratic
decisions, and anger over one of the world’s highest levels of income
inequality.
The
A.N.C.’s enduring grip on rural areas dependent on the party’s deeply
rooted patronage network will most likely ensure its dominance on the
national stage for another decade, according to experts and even to
officials in the opposition.
But pressure could mount on party leaders to replace Mr. Zuma before the end of his second and final term, in 2019.
The
A.N.C.’s national tally was about eight percentage points lower than
the 62 percent it received in the most recent local elections, in 2011.
“It’s
a huge drop,” said Prince Mashele, the executive director of the Center
for Politics and Research, a private group. “This means that the A.N.C.
was rejected by its core constituents — meaning that there is something
fundamentally wrong that the A.N.C. has done to offend them.”
For
the opposition Democratic Alliance, the election results are the first
significant victories outside of its stronghold in the western part of
the country. Whites and South Africans of mixed race make up the party’s
core supporters in that area, and blacks make up only about one-third
of the population there.
The
Democratic Alliance retained Cape Town, the nation’s second-biggest
city, with a landslide victory. The party now controls at least two of
the nation’s eight biggest cities.
Mmusi
Maimane, who last year became the Democratic Alliance’s first black
leader, claimed victory in the mayoral race in Pretoria on Friday, with
more than 10 percent of the votes still left to be tallied. The A.N.C.
did not concede.
Under
Mr. Maimane, 36, who grew up in Soweto, the Democratic Alliance appears
to have made inroads even in A.N.C. strongholds, especially among young
voters whose image of the A.N.C. has less to do with Mr. Mandela than
with Mr. Zuma.
“I
wanted change,” said Tebogo Malatjie, an unemployed 22-year-old man in
Soweto who voted for the first time for the Democratic Alliance. “You
cannot vote for the A.N.C. if you want change.”
Voters
in Nelson Mandela Bay — South Africa’s fifth-biggest municipality,
which includes Port Elizabeth and whose population is 60 percent black —
chose as its new mayor Athol Trollip, 52, a white South African from
the Democratic Alliance with a long career in progressive politics. He
is fluent in Xhosa, the dominant African language in his region.
But
the Democratic Alliance failed to win a majority there and will have to
form a coalition government with one or more smaller parties, possibly
the Economic Freedom Fighters, a leftist party that came in third
nationwide with 8 percent.
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